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HomeMy WebLinkAboutR21-541336 RESOLUTION NO. R21-541 A RESOLUTION ADOPTING THE CITY OF PLAINVIEW LONG RANGE WATER SUPPLY PLAN WHEREAS, the City of Plainview is a home -rule municipality and a political subdivision of the State of Texas duly organized and operating under the laws of the State of Texas; and WHEREAS, the City of Plainview provides water to the public for wholesale, commercial and residential use with the source of such water coming from water purchased and delivered to the City by the Canadian River Municipal Water Authority and supplemented with water from the Ogallala Aquifer pumped by wells owned by the City of Plainview; and WHEREAS, in 2020, the City Council of the City of Plainview directed City staff to develop a plan to provide adequate water supplies to meet the future water supply needs of wholesale, commercial and residential water customers to ensure the long-term viability of meeting the City's water needs; and WHEREAS, to that end, in 2020, the City of Plainview commissioned HDR Engineering, Inc. to develop a Long -Range Water Supply Plan to guide the City in meeting future water supply needs with the following objectives: (i) provide sufficient annual supply volume to meet the City's needs; (ii) provide sufficient capacity to meet projected maximum daily water demands; and (iii) promote conservation and education; and WHEREAS, the attached Long -Range Water Supply Plan developed by HDR Engineering, Inc., provides a roadmap for the City to meet the future water supply needs of the City's water customers, including meeting the objectives outlined above, detailing projections of future water supply demands through 2070, evaluating the capability of the City's current water supply system to meet those projected demands, and evaluating several water supply strategies to address projected future shortages. NOW THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PLAINVIEW THAT: 1. The recitals and findings outlined above are approved, adopted and incorporated herein as though set forth fully herein. 2. The attached Long -Range Water Supply Plan developed by HDR Engineering, Inc., is hereby accepted and adopted by the City Council and the City Resolution R21-541 Page 1 of 2 337 1 1 Manager of the City of Plainview or his designee is hereby authorized to develop strategies and/or programs for City Council consideration to meet the objectives and goals as outlined in such plan. Approved by the City Council this 14th day of December, 2021. CITY OF PLAINVIEW, TEXAS (A/ UP. If I,. Charles Sfarne4 Mayor ATTEST: &JJLA,01 Belinda Hinojosa, City e etary Resolution R21-541 Page 2 of 2 338 FN I 1 1 339 1 This page is left blank intentionally. 1 1 340 Long -Range Water Supply Plan Prepared for: PLAINVIEW,TX explore the opportuntttes City of Plainview, Texas Prepared by: HDR Engineering, Inc. TBPE Firm No. F-754 December 1, 2021 OF•t cA DAVID D. DUNN 0 .:9Fot iq Ss STE %\ L FN 1 n C 341 1 This page is left blank intentionally. 1 L—J 342 Long -Range Water Supply Plan L�� City of Plainview F Contents ExecutiveSummary ......................................................................................................................1 1 Introduction ..........................................................................................................................5 1.1 Purpose and Scope.....................................................................................................5 2 Water Demand Projections.................................................................................................. 5 2.1 Current Water Use...................................................................................................... 5 2.2 Future Water Demands...............................................................................................8 2.2.1 Annual Water Demands.................................................................................. 9 2.2.2 Maximum -Day Water Demands....................................................................12 2.2.3 Effects of Demand Reduction Assumptions..................................................15 2.2.4 Population Projections Inferred from Growth in Residential Connections.................................................................................................. 16 3 Current Water Supplies...................................................................................................... 18 3.1 CRMWA Supplies.....................................................................................................18 3.2 City -Owned Groundwater Supplies...........................................................................19 3.3 Potential Reclaimed Water Supplies......................................................................... 20 3.4 Overall Water Supply Reliability................................................................................ 21 3.4.1 Annual Supplies............................................................................................ 21 4 Future 3.4.2 Maximum -Day Supplies................................................................................ Water Supply Needs............................................................................................... 22 22 4.1 Annual Supply Needs................................................................................................22 4.2 Maximum -Day Needs................................................................................................24 5 Evaluations of Strategies to Meet Needs........................................................................... 26 5.1 Water Conservation.................................................................................................. 28 5.1.1 Strategy Description...................................................................................... 28 5.1.2 Adopted Best Management Practices........................................................... 29 5.1.3 Estimated Costs............................................................................................ 30 5.2 Additional Groundwater Development...................................................................... 32 5.2.1 Additional City -Developed Groundwater from the Ogallala Aquifer .............. 32 5.2.2 Additional City -Developed Groundwater from the Dockum Aquifer .............. 32 5.2.3 Optimization of the City's Current Wellfield...................................................36 5.3 Additional CRMWA Supplies.....................................................................................38 5.3.1 Strategy Description...................................................................................... 38 5.3.2 Water Availability........................................................................................... 38 5.3.3 Estimated Cost..............................................................................................39 5.4 Terminal Storage Reservoir...................................................................................... 40 5.4.1 Strategy Description...................................................................................... 40 5.4.2 Project Assumptions and Costs....................................................................41 5.5 Aquifer Storage and Recovery..................................................................................44 5.5.1 Project Description and Analysis...................................................................44 5.5.2 Project Assumptions and Estimated Cost ..................................................... 45 December 1, 2021 1 i 343 1 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 5.6 Reuse of Treated Effluent......................................................................................... 46 5.6.1 Strategy Costs...............................................................................................49 5.6.2 Summary.......................................................................................................50 5.6.3 Permitting Issues...........................................................................................51 6 Long -Range Water Supply Plan......................................................................................... 51 6.1 Objectives and Issues...............................................................................................51 6.2 Solutions................................................................................................................... 52 6.3 Preferred Long -Range Water Supply Plan................................................................ 55 6.4 Implementation of the Long -Range Water Supply Plan ............................................ 57 6.4.1 Impacts of the Plan on Utility Finances......................................................... 57 6.4.2 Recommended Future Actions......................................................................58 Tables Table 1. Growth factors used to determine future water demands.............................................10 Table 2. Historical, expected, high, and low annual and maximum -day demands.....................13 Table 3. Effects of demand reduction assumptions....................................................................16 Table 4. Population projections inferred from growth in residential connections ........................18 Table 5. Annual supplies currently available to the City of Plainview.........................................21 Table 6. Projected annual surpluses and needs for the City of Plainview, 2040 through 2070................................................................................................................................ 23 Table 7. Expected maximum -day surpluses and needs for the City of Plainview, 2040 through2070...................................................................................................................25 Table 8. Parameters used for estimating project costs............................................................... 27 Table 9. Summary of supplies and costs of evaluated water supply strategies .......................... 28 Table 10. Water conservation baseline metrics and goals......................................................... 29 Table 11. Implementation schedule of Best Management Practices for the City of Plainview......................................................................................................................... 29 Table 12. Costs and projected savings from BMPs based on Individual measures implemented.................................................................................................................... 30 Table 13. Summary of estimated cost for Dockum Aquifer wellfield........................................... 35 Table 14. Additional supplies potentially available from CRMWA member cities ....................... 39 Table 15. Terminal storage reservoir options and costs.............................................................42 Table 16. Cost estimate summary for Option 3 of the Terminal Storage Reservoir with storage for 14 days of maximum -day demands..............................................................43 Table 17. Summary of estimated cost for aquifer storage and recovery ....................................46 Table 18. TCEQ quality standards for reuse water.....................................................................49 Table 19. City of Plainview reuse costs (September 2018 dollars) ............................................. 50 Table 20. Preferred Long -Range Water Supply Plan and triggers to implement specific strategies......................................................................................................................... 56 ii I December 1, 2021 344 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Figures Figure 1. Monthly water production (January 2013 through December 2019).............................. 6 Figure 2. Maximum daily water production (Sept 2014 through December 2019)........................ 7 Figure 3. Seasonal daily water demands...................................................................................... 7 Figure 4. Monthly water billed by use type.................................................................................... 8 Figure 5. Historical and projected annual water demands..........................................................12 Figure 6. Historical and projected maximum -day water demands..............................................13 Figure 7. Historical and projected population estimates inferred from growth in residential connections.....................................................................................................................17 Figure 8. Changes in saturated thickness and well pumping rates from the City of Plainview groundwater system........................................................................................ 20 Figure 9. Projected annual supplies, demands, and needs for the City of Plainview .................. 23 Figure 10. Projected maximum -day supplies, demands, and needs for the City of Plainview......................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 11. Existing wells in the Dockum aquifer identified with (a.) district numbers and information on water quality (TDS, mg/L) and (b.) potential yield (gpm) near the cityof Plainview............................................................................................................... 32 Figure 12. Total depth (feet) of existing wells in the Dockum aquifer ......................................... 34 Figure 13. Simulated saturated thickness and production rates through time for the Plainview wellfield when pumping is distributed uniformly across all currently activewells...................................................................................................................... 37 Figure 14. Simulated saturated thickness and production rates through time for the Plainview wellfield when pumping rates are scaled based on initial saturated thickness......................................................................................................................... 38 Figure 15. Site map of terminal storage reservoir.......................................................................41 Figure 16. Cost curve for terminal storage reservoir................................................................... 42 Figure 17. Simulated saturated thickness and production rates through time for the Plainview wellfield when 1,000 acft/yr of recharge occurs .............................................. 45 Figure 18. City of Plainview Reuse Option, Phase 1..................................................................47 Figure 19. City of Plainview Reuse Option, Phase 2..................................................................48 Figure 20. Cost to implement the Long -Range Water Supply Plan per 1,000 gallons of future demands (High Demands projection)................................................................... 57 Figure 21. Contribution of individual strategies to cost to implement the Long -Range WaterSupply Plan.......................................................................................................... 58 1 C 1 December 1, 2021 1 iii LW� Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Acronyms/Abbreviations acft/yr acre-feet per year ASR aquifer storage and recovery BMP best management practice BOD5 biochemical oxygen demand, 5-day test CBOD5 carbonaceous biochemical oxygen demand, 5-day test CFU colony -forming unit City City of Plainview CRMWA Canadian River Municipal Water Authority gal gallons gpcd gallons per capita per day gpm gallons per minute HDR HDR Engineering, Inc. HPAS-GAM High Plains Aquifer System Groundwater Availability Model LRWSP Long -Range Water Supply Plan mg/L milligrams per liter mgd million gallons per day ml milliliter NTU nephelometric turbidity units TCEQ Texas Commission on Environmental Quality TDS total dissolved solids TWDB Texas Water Development Board UCM Uniform Cost Model WTP water treatment plant WWTP wastewater treatment plant 1 iv I December 1, 2021 040 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Executive Summary I In 2020, the City of Plainview (City) commissioned HDR Engineering, Inc. (HDR) to develop a Long -Range Water Supply Plan (LRWSP) to guide the City in meeting future water supply needs. This LRWSP was developed to meet the following objectives: 1. Provide sufficient annual supply volume, 2. Provide sufficient capacity to meet projected maximum day water demands, and 3. Promote conservation and education. In coordination with City staff, HDR developed three alternative projections of future water supply demands through 2070, for both annual supply volume and maximum -day demands, evaluated the capability of the City's current water supply system to meet those projected demands, and evaluated several water supply strategies to address projected future shortages. Three alternative water demand projections were developed through consultation with City staff: • Expected Demands • High Demands • Low Demands These demand projections are based on projected growth rates of single- and multi -family residential, commercial, and irrigation connections and projected rates of water use for each connection type. Additional large single block increases in commercial/industrial demand were also incorporated into the Expected Demands and High Demands scenarios to reflect the possibility of one or more large commercial or industrial users locating in the City. Projections were made for annual water demand in acre-feet per year (acft/yr) and maximum -day demand in million gallons per day (mgd) through 2070. The City uses two sources of supply — surface water (Lake Meredith) and groundwater provided by the Canadian River Municipal Water Authority (CRMWA) and groundwater from a City - owned wellfield with 15 active wells located throughout the City. Supplies from CRMWA can be considered firm, with a total annual contractual volume of 3,799 acft/yr, although CRMWA allocates water to its 11 member cities based on ongoing water demand projections and not based on the maximum supply stipulated in contractual terms. The City's groundwater supply is from the Ogallala Aquifer, which is projected to decline substantially over the next two decades from regional agricultural pumping. This decline will negatively affect the City's wells and the City's wellfield cannot be considered a long-term sustainable supply. If managed proactively, the wellfield is expected to be able to support an annual supply of 1,200 acft/yr until the late 2030's at which time supplies will begin to decline. Figure ES 1 presents the annual and maximum -day demands, projected supplies available from CRMWA and the City's wellfield, and projected needs (shortages) when the demands exceed the annual supply or maximum production capacity. Based on this analysis, the City will experience water supply shortages in the early 2040s as regional groundwater declines impact the supply from the City's wellfield. December 1, 2021 1 1 347 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview During the development of this LRWSP, three primary issues were identified that should be addressed: • Diminishing local groundwater supplies This will impact the capability of the City to supply maximum -day demands as well as annual demands. • Potential interruption of CRMWA supplies The CRMWA transmission system is aging and has experienced pipeline failures in recent years. Supplies from CRMWA could be interrupted from a number of events including pipeline failures. A strategy to increase the reliability of the supply from CRMWA should be initiated. • Limited supply options Located in the High Plains Region of Texas, limited options are available for new supplies of water. To address these issues, the following water supply strategies were evaluated and costs to implement each strategy were estimated. • Water conservation • Obtain additional CRMWA supplies • Develop additional City -owned groundwater • Reuse water from the City's Water Reclamation Plant • Aquifer storage and recovery (ASR) • Terminal storage reservoir for CRMWA supplies Based on the evaluations of these strategies, the LRWSP summarized in Table ES 1 is recommended. The City has sufficient annual supplies and production capacity to meet projected demands through at least 2040 if demands grow as projected and the City's groundwater wellfield is able to sustain current well capacities. In lieu of establishing "need by" dates, the plan identifies conditions that the City should monitor that should "trigger" implementation of specific strategies. The expected year for the trigger to occur is shown, but only to provide an estimated timeframe. Triggers are identified such that the City is expected to have sufficient time to implement the strategy before needing the resource. 2 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan L�� City of Plainview r 6,000 e - 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 �7e 12 19 9 8 m E z 9 Y Plainview GW Supply 0 4 s — 40 Demand Proiedion Epeded Demand PtWdian91 CRAtIMA Supply 6 Low Demand PiopOon 2 — - Hgh Demand Needs K 6q*ded Demand Needs Low Demand Needs 2020 2025 2030 2036 204D 2045 2050 2055 me fMe s» Year Figure ES 1. Projected annual and maximum -day demands, supplies and needs. 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 3 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Table ES 1. Preferred Long -Range Water Supply Plan and triggers to implement specific strategies. The City should adopt its updated water conservation plan Water Conservation None 2021 and proactively begin implementing the BMPs identified in the plan. The City should continue to manage this resources and Actively Manage Wellfield None 2021 attempt to limit annual pumping to 1,200 acft/yr, relying on the groundwater supply to supplement CRMWA supplies during high demand periods. The reservoir will not increase annual supply from CRMWA, Terminal Storage Reservoir None 2026 but will alleviate some dependence on groundwater and immediately improve the reliability of the City's water supply. Static water levels This will occur in advance of substantial reductions in well decline 10 feet Aquifer Storage and Recovery 2027 capacities. The intent is to begin supplementing and from current maintaining well capacities prior to noticeable declines in levels production capacity. Annual demands A demand of 4,000 acft/yr is 80% of the combined CRMWA Develop Phase I Non -Potable Reuse exceed 4,000 2031 and City annual supplies. Note that 4,000 acft/yr exceeds acft/yr the 2070 Expected Demands projection and this project would only be needed under the High Demands projection. Implement when demands exceed 80% of available annual Annual demands supply. Could be implemented with discharge into the Develop Phase II Potable Reuse exceed 4,400 2041 terminal storage reservoir. Note that 4,400 acft/yr exceeds acft/yr the 2070 Expected Demands projection and this project would only be needed under the High Demands projection. BMP = best management practice, acft/yr = acre-feet per year, CRMWA = Canadian River Municipal Water Authority 4 1 December 1, 2021 CO MCI Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview 1 Introduction The City of Plainview (City) is located in Hale County in the High Plains region of Texas. The 2020 U.S. Census reported a 2020 population of 20,187 persons'. Located roughly 47 miles north of Lubbock and 76 miles south of Amarillo, Plainview is the largest city in Hale County and serves as the seat of "The future availability of potable the county government. The City boasts a modern, 100-bed water remains a common hospital and hosts Wayland Baptist University and the concem. There is interest in South Plains College Plainview Center, which provides a learning about and implementing number of technical education programs and general water conservation strategies." education transfer courses, serving a 15-county area of the — 2012 Comprehensive Plan High Plains. The City of Plainview continually strives to provide reliable and high -quality water to citizens to foster growth and prosperity. 1.1 Purpose and Scope In 2020, the Plainview City Council directed City staff to develop a plan to provide adequate water supplies to meet the future water supply needs of retail and wholesale water customers to ensure the long-term viability of the City. This LRWSP provides a roadmap for the City to meet the future water supply needs of the City's water customers, with the following objectives: 1. Provide sufficient annual supply volume, 2. Provide sufficient capacity to meet projected maximum -day water demands, and 3. Promote conservation and education. This LRWSP presents the results of analyses and summarizes future water demands projected through year 2070, estimates of current and future water supplies, needs (shortages) and strategies to meet the needs. The strategies, if implemented, would help to meet the water supply objectives of the City through year 2070. 2 Water Demand Projections 2.1 Current Water Use The City obtains its primary water supply from the Canadian River Municipal Water Authority (CRMWA) and supplements CRMWA supplies with local water supply wells owned by the City. Based on billing data from January 2013 through December 2019, annual water usage has ranged between 52 to 130 million gallons. Monthly water production from CRMWA and the City's wells is shown in Figure 1. Maximum daily production from the combined sources is shown in Figure 2. Annual and maximum daily production vary from year to year as climatic ' https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/plainviewcitvtexas 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 5 351 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview conditions vary — more water is used during hot, dry years than in cooler, wetter years. As is typical with most municipalities, the City's water customers use more water during the summer months of May, June, July, and August, as shown in Figure 3, when significant quantities of water are used to irrigate lawns and gardens. The majority of the City's water demand is single-family residential use, followed closely by commercial use. The amount billed in each water use category is shown in Figure 4. This recent water use information was used as the basis for projecting future water demands. 140 120 0 0 M rn 0 100 E c 0 80 0 0 a 60 T L C O 2 40 01 ■City Groundwater ■ CRMWA 2013 2014 20^5 2016 2017 2018 2019 Figure 1. Monthly water production (January 2013 through December 2019). 6 1 December 1, 2021 352 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview 6 N C 0 5 M OI C O C 4 O U 7 O a` 3 T f0 0 E 7 E X 2 l0 1 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Figure 2. Maximum daily water production (Sept 2014 through December 2019). 5 4 0 0 J F M A Figure 3. Seasonal daily water demands. 2019 M J J A S O N D Month 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 7 353 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 140 120 100 40 20 0 2013 - ■ Irrigation ■ Multi -Family ■ Commercial ■ Residential Figure 4. Monthly water billed by use type. 2.2 Future Water Demands Water demand projections drive decisions concerning the City's future water supplies. Three alternative water demand projections were developed for the LRWSP: Expected, Low, and High. These projections are based on past water use patterns and three alternative projections for future numbers of single-family and multi -family residential connections, commercial connections, and irrigation connections through 2070. These projections were coupled with assumptions regarding future water use by each type of connection to determine future water demands by type of connection. The projections also reflect assumptions regarding the addition of one or more single large commercial water users at certain future years. Potential new municipal wholesale customers were not considered in the demand projections. Annual water demands are the total volume of water needed by the City in a year, expressed in units of acre-feet per year (acft/yr)2. Annual water demands are equivalent to average -day water demands when expressed in units of million gallons per day (mgd). 2 An acre-foot is the volume of water that covers an area of one acre with one foot of depth. It is equal to 325,851 gallons. 8 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Maximum -day water demands represent the capacity of the water system needed to supply water during the largest demand day of the year. Maximum -day demands are typically expressed in units of mgd. Maximum -day demands for a municipality are usually about twice the average day demands (expressed in mgd). For the City of Plainview, the maximum -day demands from 2015 — 2019 have averaged 1.99 times the average -day demands. For purposes of this LRWSP, annual demands are expressed in units of acft/yr and maximum -day demands as mgd to differentiate between the two'. 2.2.1 Annual Water Demands Future numbers of each type of connection were projected on an annual basis through 2070 using a series of annual growth rates, with faster growth rates occurring earlier in the planning period and slower growth rates in later years. Average daily use per connection type was determined from monthly billing data provided by the City. Use per connection was assumed to decline annually for the Expected Demands and High Demands projections due to increased awareness of the City's water conservation efforts and general adoption of more water efficient plumbing fixtures. No reductions were assumed for the Low Demands projection. Future numbers of connections were multiplied by future water use per connection to estimate future water demands for each type of connection. The individual projections for each of the four connection types were added together to arrive at a total billed water demand. For the Expected Demands and High Demands projections, additional commercial use was added to reflect the addition of one or more large commercial users that would not be reflected by uniform annual growth rates. The water use per connection is based on monthly billing data which reflects only the water measured through customer water meters. Total water produced is always greater than billed because of unbilled water use such as firefighting and water main flushing and system leakage. The projections were increased to account for an estimated 16 percent overall unbilled water use. Expected Demands — The Expected Demands projection assumes the following: The number of residential, multi -family, commercial, and irrigation connections will increase annually by 0.50, 0.25, 0.15, and 0.04 percent, respectively, through 2030, with these rates slowing at different future dates. • The water use per residential, multi -family, commercial, and irrigation connections will decline annually by 0.25, 0.13, 0, and 0.25 percent, respectfully, through 2030, with smaller rates of decline at different future dates. • An additional 0.25 mgd of commercial demand starting in 2026. 3 Annual demands expressed in units of acft/yr can be converted to average -day units of mgd by dividing by 1,120. December 1, 2021 1 9 355 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Low Demands — The Low Demands projection assumes smaller rates of growth in residential and multi -family connections and no change in the use per connection for any customer classes. No additional commercial demand is contemplated in this scenario. High Demands — The High Demands projection assumes greater annual increases in the number of all connection types than the Expected Demands projection, with similar decreases in use by each connection type through 2050, but no further decreases after 2050. This projection includes additional commercial uses of 0.25 mgd in 2026, increasing to 0.50 mgd in 2031 and 0.70 mgd in 2051. The starting (year 2020) number of connections and use per connection are shown in Table 1, followed by a summary of the annual growth factors used to determine the future annual water demands for each projection. Table 1. Growth factors used to determine future water demands. Number of connections in 20201 M Use per Connection in 2020 (gal/day)2 232.34 763.82 863.58 630.19 Expected Demands nnual increase i e t'o ' ° 0.25 0.15 0.04a hrough 2030 (/°) MI It nnual increase in connections, 031 — 2050 (%) Mkx 20Vnnual increase in connections, 51 — 2070 (%) A Annual decrease in use All _0.25mi -0.13 through 2030 (%) IMrW5 Annual decrease in use, 'O.M 1 -0. 1511 -0.08 IMI'-0.15 2031 through 2050 (%) Annual decrease in use, 156 ft -0.05 IMIVI. 10 2051 through 2070 (%) MAW. Additional commercial demand, starting in 2026 (mgd) 0.25 Ir Low Demands Annual Increase in connections 0.10 0.05 0 through 2070 (%) Annual decrease in use 0 0 0 through 2070 (%) Additional commercial demand, 0 starting in 2026 (mgd) 10 1 December 1, 2021 356 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview High Demands Annual increase in connections through 2035 (%) �� 1.00� MMM Annual increase in connections, MMM.O3 2036 — 2050 (%) .50 Annual increase in connections, 2051 — 2070 (%) 0.01 Annual decrease in use, through 2050 (%) -0.251' 11=81 -0.13 160 � -0.25 Annual decrease in use, 2051 2070 0 0 0 V"L through (%) Additional commercial demand, 0.25 starting in 2026 (mgd) Additional commercial demand, 0.50 2031 — 2040 (mgd) Additional commercial demand, 0.70 2041 — 2070 (mgd) 1. The number of connections in 2020 is based on the number of connections in 2019 plus 0.15 percent (residential), 0.15 percent (multi -family), .08 percent (commercial), and .04 percent (irrigation). 2. Water use per connection type is established as the average of years 2013 through 2019. mgd = million gallons per day Historical and projected annual water demands are shown in Figure 5 and Table 2. Each demand projection is less than projected by the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) for the 2021 Llano Estacado (Region O) Regional Water Plan, except for the High Demands projection which approaches the TWDB volumes starting in 2050. 1 December 1, 2021 1 11 357 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 5,000 i i 4,500 F i 4,000 i 3,500 3,000 o } a c m c 2,500. t 3 w 2,000 0 c a � 1,500 1. 1,000 500 } 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Year Figure 5. Historical and projected annual water demands. 2.2.2 Maximum -Day Water Demands Maximum -day water demands were projected by multiplying the annual water demand projections (expressed as average day demands in mgd) by projected maximum -day to average -day demand ratios. The starting maximum -day ratio of 1.99 was established from the average of the measured ratios from 2015 through 2019. This ratio was reduced by 0.1 percent annually from 2026 through 2050 for the Expected Demands projection and by 0.1 percent annually from 2026 through 2070 for the High Demands projection to estimate changes in maximum -day water use due to different demand management strategies which may be implemented by the City. The maximum -day ratio was not reduced for the Low Demands projection. Expected Growth — The maximum -day to average -day ratio is reduced by 0.1 percent annually beginning in 2026 and continuing through 2050, with no reductions after 2050. This results in a ratio of 1.94 in years 2051 through 2070. Low Growth — This scenario assumes no change in the maximum -day to average -day ratio. High Growth — The maximum -day to average -day ratio is reduced by 0.1 percent annually beginning in 2026 and continuing through 2070. Using this assumption, the ratio is projected to reduce to 1.94 by 2050 and to 1.90 by 2070. Historical and projected maximum -day demands are shown in Figure 6 and Table 2. 12 1 December 1, 2021 W Long -Range Water Supply Plan L�� City of Plainview r 9 8 7 2 1 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year Figure 6. Historical and projected maximum -day water demands. Table 2. Historical, expected, high, and low annual and maximum -day demands. Expected Demands High Demands■ Annual D. D. •• .- 2013 4,254 2014 3,481 2015 3,090 1' 4.40W 2016 3,366 9 6.04 'A Historical Der 2017 3,141 In 6.200 2018 3,323 10 5.72M 2019 3,196 1 5.69 2021 3,420 6.07 3,424 6.08 2022 3,431 6.09 3,440 6.10 2060 2070 3,413 6.06 3,417 6.06 1 1 1 December 1. 2021 1 13 359 n L_ 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 2023 3,443 6.11 3,456 6.13 3,422 6.07 2024 3,455 6.13 3,473 6.16 3,427 6.08 2025 3,461 6.14 3,489 6.19 3,432 6.09 2026 3,747 6.64 3,786 6.71 3,436 6.10 2027 3,753 6.65 3,802 6.73 3,441 6.11 2028 3,760 6.65 3,819 6.76 3,446 6.11 2029 3,766 6.66 3,836 6.78 3,450 6.12 2031 3,780 6.67 4,150 7.32 3,460 6.14 2032 3,788 6.67 4,167 7.34 3,465 6.15 2033 3,796 6.68 4,184 7.37 3,469 6.16 2034 3,804 6.69 4,202 7.39 3,474 6.16 2035 3,812 6.70 4,219 7.41 3,479 6.17 2036 3,820 6.70 4,226 7.42 3,484 6.18 2037 3,829 # 6.71 4,232 7.42 3,488 6.19 2038 3,83700 6.72 4,238 7.42 3,493 6.20 2039 3,845 6.73 4,244 7.43 3,498 6.21 2041 3,861 6.74 4,480 7.82 3,507 6.22 2042 3,870 6.75 4,487 7.83 3,512 6.23 2043 3,878 6.76 4,493 7.83 3,517 6.24 2044 3,886 6.77 4,499 7.83 3,522 6.25 2045 3,894 6.77 4,505 7.84 3,527 6.26 2046 3,903 6.78 4,512 7.84 3,532 6.27 2047 3,911 6.79 4,518 7.84 3,536 6.27 2048 3,920 6.80 4,524 7.84 3,541 6.28 14 1 December 1, 2021 360 2049 3,928 6.80 4,530 7.85 2051 3,940 6.82 4,543 2052 3,943 6.82 4,549 2053 3,946 6.83 4,556 2054 3,949 6.83 4,562 2055 3,952 6.84 4,568 2056 3,955 6.84 4,575 2057 3,958 6.85 4,581 2058 3,961 6.85 4,588 2059 3,964 6.86 4,594 2061 3,971 6.87 4,606 2062 L 6,880 4,612 2063 3,9771 IL 6,.8Mt 4,618 2064 3,980 l_ft,4,624 2065 3,983 "M 4,631 2066 3,986 6.90W 4,637 2067 3,990 6.90 4,643 2068 3,993 6.9M 4,649 2069 3,996 6.91 4,655 M... • . �. acft/yr = acre-feet per year; mgd = million gallons per day Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview 3,546 6.29 7.85 3,556 6.31 7.86 3,561 6.32 7.86 3,566 6.33 7.86 3,570 6.33 4d 7.87 3,575 6.34 7.87 3,580 �i 6.35 . 7.87 3,585 6.36 7.88 3,590 6.3�A 7.88 3,595 6.38-M 7.88 3,605 6.40 7.89 3,610 6.40 7.89 3,615 6.41 , 7.89 3,620 6.42 7.89 3,625 6.43 7.90 3,630 6.44 7.90 3,635 6.45 7.90 3,640 6.46 7.90 3,645 6.47 2.2.3 Effects of Demand Reduction Assumptions The Expected Demands and High Demands projections reflect assumptions regarding decreases in water use over time for each connection type, as shown in Table 1, and reductions in the maximum -day ratio. These changes reduce annual water demands by 38 acft in 2031 and 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 15 361 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 66 acft in 2070, and reduce maximum -day water demands by 0.47 mgd in 2031 and 0.72 mgd in 2070, as shown in Table 3. Table 3. Effects of demand reduction assumptions. 2031 Demands No Use Reduction 3,818 4,216 3,460 6.78 7.48 6.14 w/Use Reduction 3,780 4,150 3,460 6.67 7.32 6.14 2031 Savings 38 66 0 0.11 0.16 0.006 2070 Demands No Use Reduction 4,165 4,864 3,650 7.39 8.63 6.48 w/Use Reduction 3,999 4,661 3,650 6.92 7.91 6.48 2070 Savings 1 G4 0 0.47 acft/yr = acre-feet per year; mgd = million gallons per day 2.2.4 Population Projections Inferred from Growth in Residential Connections The growth rates projected for each connection type were developed through consultation with City staff. Future expected population for the City of Plainview can be inferred from those growth rates by assigning an average number of persons to each single- and multi -family residential connection. Based on past population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau and connection counts provided by the City, the average persons per residential connection (combined single - and multi -family connections) from 2013 through 2019 was 3.24 persons per connection. Historical population (2000 through 20204) and projected populations (2021 through 2070) are compared in Figure 7 with projections provided by the TWDB for the 2021 Llano -Estacado (Region O) Regional Water Plan. The 2010 U.S. Census established the population of the City to be 22,194. In 2013, the Cargill processing plant, the largest employer in the City at the time, closed due to a lack of incoming cattle caused by the ongoing drought in the area.5 The closing of the Cargill plant resulted in the relocation of an estimated 2,300 employees living in and around Plainview. This business was also one of the largest customers serviced by the City's water system. Populations for 2000, 2010, and 2020 are determined by the U.S. Census for those years. Populations for 2013 through 2019 are mid -year estimates developed by the U.S. Census Bureau. 5 Manny Fernandez, "Drought Takes Its Toll on a Texas Business and a Town," The New York Times, February 27, 2013. 16 1 December 1, 2021 362 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview In 2020, the U.S. Census established the population of Plainview at 20,197, which is a 10 percent decline from the 2010 Census population caused primarily by the closing of the Cargill facility. All three growth scenarios were developed considering that the population decline caused by the Cargill closure will reverse and the City will again experience future periods of population growth. In 2013 the City adopted the Plainview Comprehensive Plan6, which forecast a population in 2040 of between 24,000 and 26,000 persons. This work was completed prior to the closing of the Cargill facility and did not anticipate that event. Adjusted for the population lost from the Cargill closing, the projections presented above are in agreement with City's 2012 Comprehensive Plan. 30,000 25,000 20,000 o 75 15,000 ---- 0. —0— Historical 0 a +TWDB Prot( —High Proted 10,000 Expected Pi —Low Project 5,000 0 �. 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Year Figure 7. Historical and projected population estimates inferred from growth in residential connections. 6 https://www.i)lainviewtx.org/336/Comprehensive-Plan 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 17 363 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Table 4. Population projections inferred from growth in residential connections. 2025 21,265 20,905 21,788 2030 21,791 21,059 22,876 2040 22,881 21,370 24,613 2050 24,027 21,686 25,846 2060 24,662 22,007 26,487 2070 25,232 22,332 27,144 3 Current Water Supplies 3.1 CRMWA Supplies CRMWA provides a combination of surface water from Lake Meredith and groundwater from the Ogallala Aquifer in Roberts County. Groundwater from Roberts County is developed and transmitted by the John C. Williams Aqueduct and Wellfield to a location south of Fritch, TX, where it is blended with supplies from Lake Meredith. The blended supply is transmitted to CRMWA's 11 member cities through a 322-mile aqueduct system that extends from Lake Meredith through Amarillo and Lubbock to Lamesa. The aqueduct is roughly parallel to Interstate 27, with a branch transporting water west to Levelland and Brownfield. CRMWA has obtained additional groundwater rights in other areas of Roberts County and in Grey, Hutchinson, and Wheeler counties intended to provide a long-term supply to CRMWA's member cities. Per contractual provisions between the City and CRMWA, the City has a right to 4.15 mgd of the CRMWA Aqueduct capacity. The City's pro-rata share of the annual supply from CRMWA is 1,238 million gallons per year, or 3,799 acft/yr, a current allocation of 3.691 percent of CRMWA's total supply. This equates to an average -day supply of 3.39 mgd, so the authorization to take 4.15 mgd provides some capability to take greater than the average -day supply for limited periods of time. Although production from the existing CRMWA wellfield will likely decrease over time as aquifer levels decline, these supplies are considered firm under the assumption that CRMWA will add additional wells, as necessary, to maintain existing production capacity. With the additional undeveloped supplies from Roberts, Grey, Hutchinson, and Wheeler counties, supplies from CRMWA appear to be reliable and sustainable for many years, well beyond the timeframe of the City's LRWSP. However, the CRMWA supplies can be considered somewhat vulnerable because supply is dependent on the CRMWA Aqueduct, which was constructed in the 1960s. The aqueduct system is aging, and failure along any part of its 322 miles could interrupt deliveries to Plainview until repairs are completed. In late 2015 and early 2016, the aqueduct experienced three failures that removed the aqueduct from service for at least a week. CRMWA has performed a condition assessment and has installed emergency bypasses around areas known to be vulnerable. 18 1 December 1, 2021 364 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview CRMWA has a long-term plan to construct an additional pipeline to deliver water from a separate Roberts County wellfield to the CRMWA Aqueduct that would increase the total groundwater supply from CRMWA by 58,240 acft/yr, of which Plainview's share (3.691 percent) would be 2,150 acft/yr. CRMWA has not committed to a timeframe for construction of this additional infrastructure. Based on its current capacity, the CRMWA Aqueduct would not be able to transport the full volume of additional supply. The maximum annual supply received by the City from CRMWA since 2013 was 2,595 acft in 2017. Because Lake Meredith water is often blended with groundwater from the Roberts County wellfield, the City must treat the CRMWA supply as a surface water supply and operates a water treatment plant that treats the CRMWA supplies to drinking water standards before introducing the water into the City's water distribution system. The City's water treatment plant has a rated capacity of 6.52 mgd, with the clarifiers currently establishing the plant's production capacity. The water treatment plant provides greater treatment capacity than can be supplied by CRMWA and treatment capacity does not limit the City's water supplies. 3.2 City -Owned Groundwater Supplies The City has 15 active wells, all located within the City and tied directly into the City's water distribution system. Fourteen of the 15 wells have recorded production in the last 5 years. Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) records' provide a "tested" yield for each of the wells when it was drilled. The sum of these 15 tested yields is 12.2 mgd, although well yields in an unconfined aquifer such as the Ogallala Aquifer will tend to decline with time as saturated thicknesses decrease. The total capacity of the wells has not been fully used; the wells have delivered as much as 5.98 mgd in recent years (July 13, 2016). This is equivalent to recent maximum -day system demands of roughly 6 mgd. Assuming a long-term supply from CRMWA of 2,600 acft/yr, based on recent annual deliveries from CRMWA, the groundwater system might be required to provide an annual supply of as much as 4,661 acft. In the Ogallala Aquifer, a minimum saturated thickness is required to achieve the pumping rates desired in municipal wells. The assumption built into the planning simulations performed with the High Plains Aquifer System Groundwater Availability Model (HPAS-GAM) is that as saturated thickness approaches 30 feet, pumping rates will be reduced and productivity will decrease. A simulation using the HPAS-GAM indicates that a pumping rate of 4,661 acft/yr rate could be sustained for less than 10 years before significant declines in well capacity occur. A second simulation of the City's groundwater system indicated that 1,200 acft/yr could be sustained for nearly two decades before some reduction in well capacities may occur. By 2070, saturated thicknesses are projected to decline to the extent that the effective well capacities will be zero. These simulations account for regional agricultural pumping pressures that cause ' TCEQ Drinking Water Watch, https:Hdww2.tceg.texas.gov/DWW/. 1 December 1, 2021 1 19 365 1 r— L Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview water levels in the City to drop by one to two feet per year, regardless of whether the City uses its wells. Results of the HPAS-GAM simulation are shown in Figure 8. Note that the simulation reflected in Figure 8 assigned the 1,200 acft/yr pumping to the individual wells in proportion to each well's use in the last five years, i.e., wells the City has used more in the last five years were assigned proportionally greater pumping. Based on the modeled simulations, the long-term supply of 1,200 acft/yr from the City's current wells is not expected to be sustainable much past the 2050 decade due to regional declines in saturated thickness resulting from continued agricultural pumping. For purposes of this plan, City -owned groundwater supply was assumed to be unusable when the simulated annual pumping declined below 300 acft/yr. This is projected to occur in 2055. Change in Saturated Thickness at the Wells —4 120 --- 7 - a \. 11 \ 100 12 --- 13 14 is 80 17 60 is 20 n \\\ -............_._.. _ _ _ _ 21 N 401 \' .Tn--------------------- ---------- 22 201 �.�.— I ..... ...... ..................•-..a..u.0 . . .......:rr........=.'.«.��-nnnnn nnnn..n...... � 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Change in Pump Rate at the Wells — 4 12001------ ----------------------------------- --- 7 --s 11 1000� - 12 m --- 13 r - 14 c� w0i 15 A - — 16 - 17 a 6DOi - - is 20 221 -------------------------------- --- 22 -- --- TOWI ......................:::::::.......................... Figure 8. Changes in saturated thickness and well pumping rates from the City of Plainview groundwater system. 3.3 Potential Reclaimed Water Supplies The City operates the City -owned Water Reclamation Plant, which is authorized under Texas Pollution Discharge Elimination Permit (TPDES) No. WQ0010537001 to discharge an annual average of 3.3 mgd of effluent to Running Water Draw, a tributary of the White River. Production 20 1 December 1, 2021 366 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview reports from 2012 to 2019 indicate that the City has been discharging an average of 1.29 mgd, with a minimum discharge of 1.18 mgd in 2018. For purposes of establishing supply available for reuse, 1.18 mgd (1,322 acft/yr) of effluent is a reasonably conservative estimate to use for planning purposes. 3.4 Overall Water Supply Reliability 3.4.1 Annual Supplies The City of Plainview currently has 7,261 acft/yr of annual supply, comprised of 2,600 acft/yr from CRMWA and 4,661 acft/yr of City -owned groundwater, based on recent usage of both resources. As supply from the City's wellfield decreases, total available supply will decrease to 4,999 acft/yr in the mid-term (approximately 2040), consisting of the full 3,799 acft/yr contractual supply from CRMWA and 1,200 acft/yr from the City's wells. This supply will further decrease as the City's well capacities continue to decline and, ultimately, the City's supply will consist solely of the 3,779 acft/yr supply from CRMWA. The effluent from the City's Water Reclamation Plant could provide an additional 1,322 acft/yr should the City decide to incorporate direct potable or non -potable reuse into the City's water supply portfolio. This would increase available annual supplies to 6,321 acft/yr in 2040 and 5,121 acft/yr in 2070. Overall, the City's current CRMWA and City -owned groundwater supplies are sufficient to meet annual water demands projected under the High Demands projection through 2040 (4,250 acft/yr), and potentially through 2070 (4,661 acft/yr) if groundwater supplies decline less than anticipated by the modeling or the City pursues direct potable or non -potable reuse to supplement CRMWA supplies. Table 5. Annual supplies currently available to the City of Plainview. CRMWA 2,600 3,799 3,799 City -Owned Groundwater 4,661 1,200 0 Total Current Supply 7,261 4,999 3,799 Reuse 0 1,322 1,322 Total 7,261 6,321 5,121 1. Short-term supplies are based on current use of resources. 2. Mid-term supplies are based on full contractual quantity from CRMWA, reduced use of City -owned groundwater to a sustainable annual quantity, and potential reuse supplies. 3. Long-term supplies are based on full contractual quantity from CRMWA and assumed loss of current groundwater well capacity. acft/yr = acre-feet per year 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 21 rerAaWA f -Om Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 3.4.2 Maximum -Day Supplies The City's water supply system must be capable of not only providing the required annual volume to meet water demands but must also be able to provide those supplies at a rate to meet the City's maximum -day demands. Maximum -day demands typically occur during the summer months. During winter months, use is generally much less than average and during the summer months maximum -day water use is roughly double the daily average. Maximum -day supplies from CRMWA are limited to the 4.15 mgd contractual quantity. Maximum -day supplies from the City's groundwater system are assumed to be 6 mgd through 2029, decrease to 4 mgd from 2030 through 2040, then decrease following a pattern similar to the declines in annual pumping capacity. Maximum -day demands are currently about 6 mgd and are expected to increase to 6.92 mgd under the Expected Demands projection and to 7.91 mgd by 2070 under the High Demands projection. Current City supplies can provide more than the projected maximum -day demands, but this requires the City's groundwater sources be available because the CRMWA supply is limited to the contractual capacity of 4.15 mgd. If the CRMWA contractual rate were increased to facilitate maximum -day demands, the City's water treatment plant would also need to increase capacity from its current 6.52 mgd. If groundwater levels decline as projected and severely limit well capacities, the City will need to incorporate an alternative method of meeting maximum -day demands. 4 Future Water Supply Needs Future water supply need is the difference between future demand and existing supply, accounting for the projected decline in groundwater availability. When future demand is greater than the existing supply, the difference is referred to as a "need." 4.1 Annual Supply Needs Annual supplies, projected demands, and resulting needs for the 2020-2070 period are shown in Figure 9. Needs for additional annual supply are anticipated for the Expected Demands projection starting in 2055. Under the High Demands projection, annual needs are projected starting in 2045. Under the Low Demands projection, no needs are anticipated. Surpluses and needs for the 2040 through 2070 period are shown in Table 6. 22 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan L�� City of Plainview r 6,000 5,000 Plainview GW Si a 4,000 R z 3,000 a a c a E 2.000 n UDemandR�echon d Demand Roiedion 1,000 a and Pr*dionmand Needsd Demand Needs 2020 2025 2030 2036 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 Year Figure 9. Projected annual supplies, demands, and needs for the City of Plainview. Table 6. Projected annual surpluses and needs for the City of Plainview, 2040 through 2070. 2040 1,146 749 1,496 2041 944 325 1,298 2042 848 231 1,206 2043 761 146 1,122 2044 681 68 1,045 2045 607 (4) 974 2046 537 (72) 908 2047 474 (133) 849 2048 415 (189) 794 2049 361 (241) 743 2050 310 (290) 696 2051 268 (335) 652 2052 230 (376) 612 2053 195 (415) 575 2065 2070 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 23 369 1 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview ExpectedDemands High Demands Low Demane Surplus/(Need) Surplus/(Need) Surplus/(Ne. 2054 162 (451) 541 2055(153) _ al, (769) 224 2056 2�! (156) �* (776) 219 2057 N (159) (782) 214 F_ 2058 N& (162) NJ (789) 209 1 2059 Mir(165) ' W (795) 204 ba 2060 NJ (169) (801) 199 OF 2061 ' (172) (807) 194 p 2062 ■ ' (175) EL (813) 189 1. 2063 on (178) SM(819) 184 1 2064 we (181) ■IW (825) 179 1 2065 (184) NOW (832) 174 2066 (187) ML.. (838) 169 2067 (191) on (844) 164 2068 (194) (850) 159 2069 (197) (856) 154 2070 (200) (862) 149 acft/yr = acre-feet per year 4.2 Maximum -Day Needs Maximum -day supplies, demands, and needs are shown in Figure 10. Needs for additional maximum -day supply capacity are anticipated under all three projections prior to 2048, with the earliest (2042) and largest needs occurring under the High Demands projection. Surpluses and needs for the 2040 through 2070 period are shown in Table 7. Even under the Low Demands projection, for which annual supplies are sufficient through 2070, the City will require additional supply capacity to meet maximum -day demand conditions, due to the expected reduction in the well capacities of the City's groundwater supplies. 24 1 December 1, 2021 370 e 0 12 10 8 1 PlainviewGW Supply Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview a. c-No ernandProledm ---"---------------- y—Eqeded Deward Prgecilion CRMWA SuPPIY a c —taw Derrand Projecbon E 2 ---EwDarrend emand Needs ---ed Derrard Needs — — Needs 0- 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 Year Figure 10. Projected maximum -day supplies, demands, and needs for the City of Plainview. Table 7. Expected maximum -day surpluses and needs for the City of Plainview, 2040 through 2070. 2040 1.42 0.72 1.94 2041 1.26 0.18 1.78 2042 0.92 (0.15) 1.44 2043 0.61 (0.46) 1.13 2044 0.33 (0 74) 0.85 2045 0.07 (0.99) 0.58 2046 (0.17) (1.23) 0.34 2047 (0.39) (1.44) 0.12 2048 (0.59) (1.64) (0.08) 2049 (0.78) (1.82) (0.26) 2050 (0.95) 01 99) (0.43) December 1. 2021 1 25 371 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 0 2051 2052 2053 2054 2055 f± 2056 2057 2058 2059 2060 2061 2062 2063 2064 2065 2066 2067 2068 2069 2070 mgd = million gallons per day (1.10) (2.14) (0.59) (1.24) (2.27) (0.73) (1.37) (2.40) (0.87) (1.49) (2.52) (0.99) (2.69) (3.72) (2.19) (2.69) (3.72) (2.20) (2.70) (3.72) (2.21) (2.70) (3.73) (2.22) (2.71) (3.73) (2.23) (2.72) (3.73) (2.24) (2.72) (3.73) (2.25) (2.73) (3.74) (2.25) (2.73) (3.74) (2.26) (2.74) (3.74) (2.27) (2.74) (3.74) (2.28) (2.75) (3.75) (2.29) (2.75) (3.75) (2.30) (2.76) (3.75) (2.31) (2.76) (3.75) (2.32) (2.77) (3.76) (2.33) 5 Evaluations of Strategies to Meet Needs Several water supply strategies were identified and evaluated that the City of Plainview should consider pursuing to address the projected annual supply and maximum -day needs. Strategies to increase annual supplies include a more aggressive water conservation program, developing additional groundwater supplies from the Ogallala and Dockum aquifers, obtaining additional supplies from CRMWA member cities that aren't using their full contracted amounts, aquifer storage and recovery, and reuse of treated effluent. Each of those strategies also could potentially address shortages in maximum -day supplies. 26 1 December 1, 2021 372 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview In addition to the above strategies that would increase annual supplies and increase maximum - day capacity, a terminal storage reservoir was evaluated that would temporarily store CRMWA supplies to improve the reliability of the CRMWA supplies in the event of a pipeline failure and provide the capability to increase maximum -day supplies. The six water management strategies are evaluated on a consistent cost basis and subject to similar technical assumptions. Unless otherwise noted, capital and annual operations and maintenance cost estimates were prepared using the Uniform Cost Model (UCM) developed for the TWDB to promote consistency in the 2021 regional water planning process. Current cost estimates are based on September 2018 price indices so that the City's LRWSP is consistent with the 2021 Regional and 2022 State Water Plans. Table 8 summarizes specific assumptions adopted for parameters used in the UCM. Table 8. Parameters used for estimating project costs. Interest During Construction 3.00% Rate of Return on Investments During 0.50% Construction Engineering, Legal, & Contingencies (Pipelines) 30% of Capital Costs Engineering, Legal, & Contingencies (All Other 35% of Capital Costs Facilities) Debt Service Period 30 years Annual Interest Rate 3.50% Operations & Maintenance (Pipelines) 1.00% of Capital Costs Operations & Maintenance (Pump Stations) 2.50% of Capital Costs Power Costs $0.08/kilowatt-hour Right of Way Land Acquisition Width 50 feet Those potential strategies are listed in Table 9 along with their reliable supply, total project cost, and annual unit cost in 2018 dollars. • Total Project Cost — The costs for all project components including materials, labor, equipment, engineering, legal, land acquisition and surveying, permitting, contingencies, and interest during construction. In other words, the total cost to construct the project. Annual Cost — The cost to deliver supplies on an annual basis including debt service payments for construction costs, operation and maintenance, energy costs, and payments for leases or water contracts. 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 27 373 1 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview • Unit Cost — The annual cost per acre-foot to deliver supplies determined by dividing the total annual cost during the debt service period by the annual reliable supply volume. Detailed evaluations of each strategy are presented in the sections following Table 9. Table 9. Summary of supplies and costs of evaluated water supply strategies. Water Conservation 115 $34,265 $298 Additional Groundwater 2,000 $26,642,000 $1,834 Development Additional CRMWA 862 N/A $521 Supplies Terminal Storage N/A' $10,815,000 N/A Reservoir Aquifer Storage and 1,000 $2,725,000 $212 Recovery Reuse of Treated 1,120 $26,168,000 $1,207 Effluent 1. The terminal storage reservoir would not increase supplies from CRMWA, but would provide additional flexibility in how supplies from CRMWA are used. acft/yr = acre-feet per year; $/acft = dollars per acre-foot 5.1 Water Conservation 5.1.1 Strategy Description Conserving existing water supplies through demand reduction is a cost-effective strategy available to Plainview to extend available supplies and reduce maximum -day demands. Water conservation is defined as "those practices, techniques, and technologies that will reduce the consumption of water, reduce the loss or waste of water, improve the efficiency in the use of water, or increase the recycling and reuse of water so that a water supply is made available for future or alternative uses" (Texas Water Code §11.002 (a) (8) (B)). Because the City of Plainview serves over 3,300 connections, the State of Texas requires the City to develop, submit, and implement a water conservation plan and prepare updates to the plan every five years (31 Texas Administrative Code, Chapter 363). Pursuant to this study, the City has updated its water conservation plan to establish more aggressive water conservation goals and to implement additional best management practices to help achieve those goals. The Water Conservation Plan specifies a 5-year goal to reduce per capita water use from the current 135 gallons per capita per day (gpcd) to 130 gpcd by 2026, and a 10-year goal to further reduce water use to 127 gpcd by 2031. The plan identifies additional gpcd reductions specifically for residential water use. The plan also established a goal to reduce water loss to 14 percent by 2026 and to 13 percent by 2031. 28 1 December 1, 2021 00 Table 10. Water conservation baseline metrics and goals. 135 64 15% gpcd = gallons per capita per day 131 59■_ 14% Long -Range Water Supply Plan L�� City of Plainview r 5.1.2 Adopted Best Management Practices The following best management practices (BMPs) were included in the updated Water Conservation Plan. Many of the BMPs outlined in the plan have already been implemented or are ongoing. New BMPs are planned to be implemented as shown in Table 11. Table 11. Implementation schedule of Best Management Practices for the City of Plainview. Continuing Public Education and Information Plumbing Codes Water Conservation Retrofit Program Conservation -Oriented Water Rate Structure Production Meters Universal Metering and Meter Repair and Replacement Water Conserving Landscaping Water Loss Control Measures Already in place, however, the City will expand public information campaign in 2022. The City is Yes current developing a one -page handout to be made available to the public and handed out at conservation -oriented events. Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Leak Detection and Yes Repair Recycling and Reuse3': Water rates will be monitored on an annual basis and may be adjusted depending on City goals. The City is completing this Long - Range Water Supply Plan to explore opportunities. 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 29 375 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Water Conservation No End of 2021 or Coordinator early 2022 Outdoor Water Use No End of 2021 or Restrictions early 2022 Plumbing Fixture, Washer, and Landscape Rebate Program: Toilet Rebates No End of 2021 or early 2022 Showerhead and Aerator No End of 2021 or Kit Rebates early 2022 Clothes Washer Rebates No End of 2021 or early 2022 Urinal Rebates No End of 2021 or early 2022 The City Manager will appoint a Water Conservation Coordinator. Will be enacted upon adoption of the Water Conservation Plan. The City currently provides a limited number of high efficiency toilets to residents annually. The City will discontinue this practice and develop a system of rebates for high -efficiency toilets, showerhead and aerator kits, and clothes washers for residences and commercial establishments, and urinals for commercial establishments. Waterwise Landscaping End of 2021 or early The City will explore options and Rebates o No 2022 develop a program of rebates for retrofit of existing landscaping. 5.1.3 Estimated Costs The cost of implementing or expanding conservation programs can vary widely among the individual programs depending on the level of effort and infrastructure required. Costs and projected water savings were estimated using the Municipal Water Conservation Planning Tool developed by the TWDBB and are presented in Table 12. Table 12. Costs and projected savings from BMPs based on Individual measures implemented. Individual Measures High Efficiency Toilet Rebate Single $113 26.3 44 $4,972 286.04 0.03 Family High Efficiency Toilet Rebate $113 34.7 33 $3,729 293.28 0.03 Multi Family 8 https://www.twdb.texas.gov/conservation/municipal/plans/doc/TWDB MWCPT vl.xlsm 30 1 December 1, 2021 376 High Efficiency Toilet Rebate Industrial, $138 Commercial, Institutional Measures Showerhead and Aerator Kit $10 Single Family Showerhead and Aerator Kit $10 Multi Family Clothes Washer Rebate $156 Single Family Clothes Washer Rebate $156 Multi Family Urinal Rebate Industrial, 7 6.1 14.2 31.7 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview L 92.27 � 1 L0.02 44 $440 40.49 0.004 1 33 $330 27.40 0.003 55 $8,580 171.55 0.02 33 $5,148 165.59 0.02 Commercial, $138 17 22 $3,036 102.21 0.01 Institutional Measures Clothes Washer Rebate Industrial, $ 33 _ . Commercial, 0-4 InstitutionalR— Measures Total (Individual Measures) $34,265 1,610 0.17 System -Wide Measures Water Loss Reduction by 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A 2,356 0.25 over 10 years Seasonal Restrictions on N/A N/A N/A N/A 33,394 3.56 Outside Water Use Total (System -Wide Measures) N/A 35,750 3.81 Total Annual Savings (1,000 gal) 37,360 3.98A Total Annual Savings (acftlyr) 114.6 gpd = gallons per day; gpcd = gallons per capita per day; acft/yr = acre-feet per year 1 C December 1, 2021 1 31 377 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview The water demands for the Expected Demands and High Demands projections include specific anticipated reductions in water use by connection type, as shown in Table 1. These reductions in water use reduce projected annual demands and reflect increased awareness of the City's water conservation efforts and general adoption of more water efficient plumbing fixtures. The conservation savings shown above (114.6 acft/yr in 2031) reflect additional conservation savings that are expected to be achieved through implementation of the BMPs described above. 5.2 Additional Groundwater Development 5.2.1 Additional City -Developed Groundwater from the Ogallala Aquifer Due to the projected declines in groundwater levels shown in Figure 8, additional City - developed groundwater from the Ogallala Aquifer would not be a viable long-term strategy. While additional wells in the Ogallala Aquifer could increase supplies for the short term, it is not a potential long-term supply strategy. 5.2.2 Additional City -Developed Groundwater from the Dockum Aquifer This alternative envisions new wells drilled in the Dockum Aquifer near Plainview. The goal is to produce about 2,000 acft/yr from a Dockum Aquifer wellfield. 5.2.2.1 WATER QUALITY, WELL YIELD, AND WELL DEPTH IN THE DOCKUM AQUIFER NEAR PLAINVIEW The TWDB defines the official Dockum Aquifer as the portion of the aquifer where total dissolved solids (TDS) is less than 5,000 milligrams per liter (mg/L). The TWDB estimate of where this 5,000 mg/L transition zone occurs is on the southwest edge of the City as shown in Figure 11. ID-85.?2J�wisher Drill Yield-600 TDS_rJa \_—Flow�lieb=n/ Sher 1 r urnY ItID=85324 ID=85326 _ Drill Yleltl-760\III View-n/a TDS-3590 TDS=n/a - Fbw Y.Cld-590 I Flow Meld=850 -- ID-90043 Drill Yield=n/a TDS=2601 I0-85329 , Drill Vicki=n/a Flow Yield-n/a TDS=2010 I Flow Y.6d=973y I0=85288 ID=89003 Drill Yfeld=800 DrJI Yieltl=1000 TD5-2062 TDS=n/a Flow Yield=Na Fbw Yield=182 --WIINNE1lI-.. ID=30159 ID-29791 Drill Yield-500 Dr81 veld= 180 TDS=31700 Ii rDs=Nay Flow riela-Na�V Flow Yield=Nam Y ID-26711 Dell Yield=6 - TDS-771 Fbw Yield-n/a my rrnty legend Legend Dohum Aaulfer Dockum AmNer L.- Well OOO m<ft TDs 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 ml Well �„�l TDS 0 2 5 5 7.5 L. - -Mepr Roeds -..._ I —Mew RoeM ! Figure 11. Existing wells in the Dockum aquifer identified with (a.) district numbers and information on water quality (TDS, mg/L) and (b.) potential yield (gpm) near the city of Plainview. (Data collected from https://dockumstudy.hpwd.org/.) In general, water quality in the Dockum Aquifer improves moving updip towards the outcrop, as the age of the water decreases and less time has been available for dissolution of constituents 32 1 December 1, 2021 BE: Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview from the porous media. Updip in the Dockum Aquifer from Plainview is generally to the northeast. Two sources of information were used to inform the yield and water quality near the City: the TWDB driller log database, and the HPWD Dockum Study database. The TWDB groundwater database was not used because it contains no records of nearby Dockum wells. The TWDB driller log database was used to look for records of both active and plugged Dockum wells. The majority of records of Dockum wells being drilled in the area have plugging records, indicating a dry hole or some other unfavorable condition. Based on the HPWD Dockum study database, there are currently four existing wells within 20 miles northeast of the City with available data on either water quality (TDS, mg/L), potential yield (gallons per minute [gpm]), or both (Figure 11). There are two additional wells approximately 20 miles to the east-southeast of the City with quality and/or yield information, and several wells within 30 miles north-northwest. Lastly, Azteca Milling has one active Dockum well south of the City within the >5,000 mg/L zone of the aquifer. Water quality records are based on either grab sampling or a probe conductivity measurement. The data on water quality in the area 20 miles northeast of the City is relatively consistent, on the order of 2,000 mg/L TDS. The Azteca well to the south shows a TDS of 31,700 mg/L. The water quality beneath Plainview is likely between those two values. However, where and how fast the transition occurs is unknown, and would require a test -drilling program to determine. Data on potential yield was estimated at the time of drilling or with HPWD-performed flow tests, and with both methods in several cases (Figure 11 b). For potential yield data, most of the wells show between 500 and 1,000 gpm, with the exception of well ID 85288 which shows a flow -test yield of 182 gpm. The time -of -drilling yield of 1,000 gpm was either based on the permit (i.e. what the permittee was hoping to achieve) or an overestimate by the driller, since the flow yield provides the definitive estimate of productivity. Information on the depth to the base of wells (feet) is available from driller's logs (Figure 12). While not explicitly stated, it is assumed that most wells are drilled to the bottom of the Dockum Aquifer. The Azteca Milling well to the south has a depth of 914 feet, while wells 20 miles to the northeast have depths of approximately 800 feet. Wells drilled near the City are expected to be approximately 900 feet deep. 5.2.2.2 PROJECT ASSUMPTIONS AND COSTS When locating a Dockum Aquifer wellfield near the City, the strategy must balance the improvement in water quality that could be achieved by locating the wellfield some distance to the northeast, and the cost of constructing a pipeline to transport the raw water to a City treatment plant. Typical brackish water treatment plants in Texas treat a raw water quality of between 2,500 and 3,500 mg/L TDS9. Treating the seawater -like quality groundwater from the Azteca Milling well would greatly increase the costs of the treatment plant. 9 hftps://www.twdb.texas.gov/innovativewater/desal/doc/Cost of Desalination in Texas rev.pdf December 1, 2021 1 33 379 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview For the purposes of estimating cost, the wellfield was assumed to be located 5 miles northeast of the City to achieve a raw water quality of 2,500 to 3,500 mg/L. If the City were to actively pursue this strategy, a test -drilling program should explore the Dockum Aquifer water quality near the northeast City limits, and then move further updip only as necessary to achieve the target water quality. N Total -Depth =_860� is t ',,�o un Total Depth = 930 Total Depth = 830� Total Depth = 760 Total Depth = 8100'Total Depth = 811 l ti Total Depth = 760 f �Td al Depth = 914 Total Depth = 618y Total Depth = 673 my Legend Dockum Aquifer • well 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 mi > 5,000 mg/L TDS — Major Roads Figure 12. Total depth (feet) of existing wells in the Dockum aquifer. (Data collected from hops://dockumstudy.hpwd.org/.) The TWDB UCM was used to estimate the bulk of the project costs. The cost of the concentrate disposal well (estimated at $3,000,000) was based on a personal communication from STRATA Technologies, who specialize in Texas injection wells. Other key assumptions include: 1. Well capacities of about 500 gpm, with three wells required. 34 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview 2. Land acquisition of about 1,300 acres (basically two adjacent sections) to meet the 1.5 acre-foot per acre HPWD requirement. 3. Well depths of 900 feet. 4. Topography is basically flat between the City and land 5 miles to the northeast. 5. Two 5,280-foot, 8-inch pipelines to tie two of the wells to the third, near where the main line begins. 5,280 feet is the minimum well spacing required by HPWD for >500 gpm wells. While wells in the same wellfield may be allowed a variance from spacing rules, the amount of interference that is likely to occur with high -capacity Dockum wells warrants a wide spacing. 6. 5-mile, 12-inch main pipeline from wellfield to treatment plant. 7. 120 hp lift station to provide mainline pressure. 8. Brackish groundwater RO treatment plant. 9. A 4,800-foot injection well for disposing of brine concentrate. This depth is based on existing saltwater disposal wells in Hale and Lubbock counties. Table 13 shows the estimated cost of the Dockum Aquifer wellfield water supply strategy. Overall project cost is estimated at $26,642,000. Table 13. Summary of estimated cost for Dockum Aquifer wellfield. Primary Pump Station (2 MGD) Transmission Pipeline (12 in dia., 5 miles) Wellfields (Production Wells, Disposal Well, Pumps, and Piping) Water Treatment Plant (2 MGD) TOTAL COST OF FACILITIES Engineering and Feasibility Studies, Legal Assistance, Financing, Bond Counsel, and Contingencies (30% for pipes & 35% for all other facilities) Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation Land Acquisition and Surveying (34 acres) Interest During Construction (3% for 1 years with a 0.5% ROI) TOTAL COST OF PROJECT ANNUAL COST Debt Service (3.5 percent, 20 years) $1, 064, 000 $1,947,000 $5,758,000 $8,013,000 $16,782,000 $5,776,000 $1,686,000 $1,684,000 714 000 $26,642,000 $1,875,000 1 December 1, 2021 1 35 %en 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Operation and Maintenance L r Pipeline, Wells, and Storage Tanks (1% of Cost of Facilities) Intakes and Pump Stations (2.5% of Cost of Facilities) Water Treatment Plant Pumping Energy Costs (1793605 kW-hr @ 0.08 $/kW-hr) TOTAL ANNUAL COST Available Project Yield (acft/yr) !F Annual Cost of Water ($ per acft), based on PF=1 Annual Cost of Water after Debt Service ($ per acft), based on PF=1 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons), based on PF=1 Annual Cost of Water after Debt Service ($ per 1,000 gallons), based on PF=1 5.2.3 Optimization of the City's Current Wellfield $77,000 $27,000 $1,546,000 $143,000 $3,668,000 2,000 $1,834 $897 $5.63 $2.75 When simulating the yield through time to estimate future supplies available from the City's existing wellfield, three simulations were performed to explore whether changing the average production rates in the wellfield would increase overall longevity. The three simulations included: Pumping wells at rates proportional to current pumping rates (the City currently uses some wells, such as 13, 14, and 22 more than others). This simulation is reflected in the current supply analysis shown in Figure 8. 2. Pumping distributed uniformly across all wells. 3. Setting well pumping rates based on initial saturated thickness. The results of the three simulations are shown in Figure 8, Figure 13, and Figure 14. When wells are pumped uniformly (Figure 13), rates begin to decline sooner than when wells are pumped at rates proportional to current usage (Figure 8). Scaling the well rates by initial saturated thickness (Figure 14) increases the longevity of the wellfield compared to uniform pumping rates, but still does not perform as well as the existing City pumping strategy. 36 1 December 1, 2021 I • 120 100 e so \ V F 60 40 20 2020 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview —4 --- 7 -- 8 ...... 11 ' 12 �. --- 13 14 15 16 --- 17 18 20 21 _ _ --- 22 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 1 — 4 1200 --------------- -,- --- 7 - - 8 •••••• 11 1000 _ -- - 12 n --- 13 ````````•�-_- - - 14 t� 800 - - --- --- - - - - - _ _ . _ -- - --- - --- - -- - -- .. 15 16 --- 17 d 600 -- 18 20 E __ — 21 400 --- 22 --- Total 200 -- --y--------- - ........ .......... ,, 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Figure 13. Simulated saturated thickness and production rates through time for the Plainview wellfield when pumping is distributed uniformly across all currently active wells. 1 December 1, 2021 1 37 383 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview — 4 120 --- 7 — - 8 �.` 11 100 �.� 12 --- 13 14 Y80 \ <� \\\ �'� \ 15 16 --- 17 $ 60 N. —. c.. - 18 20 \\\\\� ` `21 _ — 22 -----------— .. \` �� ----------------- 20 '��� -. ::::: ..a•� ..........:::.................................... Change in Pump Rate at the Wells -- — 4 1200-------------------------------- --- 11 7 1000 — 12 aoo About 17 years before _ 14 rates decline - 15 A _ -- 16 - --- 17 u m 600 — - 18 oc ...... 20 a E 21 400 -- 22 --- Total 200 uyyn vin n.nw—lTfl �.. �.. �.. �.. �...,. ss 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Figure 14. Simulated saturated thickness and production rates through time for the Plainview wellfield when pumping rates are scaled based on initial saturated thickness. 5.3 Additional CRMWA Supplies 5.3.1 Strategy Description CRMWA provides surface water and groundwater to 11 member cities, including Amarillo, Lubbock, Pampa, Borger, Plainview, Levelland, Brownfield, Lamesa, Slaton, Tahoka, and O'Donnell. Some of the CRMWA member cities are not using their full contracted amounts. These cities are potential partners to cooperatively develop a strategy to buy excess water in their contract, which would provide additional CRMWA supply to Plainview and reduce some of the costs for the cooperating members. 5.3.2 Water Availability Member cities identified as potential candidates are limited to those that are "downstream" from Plainview in the CRMWA Aqueduct. The proration of aqueduct capacities is contractually based and member cities located "upstream" of Plainview would not have the contractual ability to assign their supplies to Plainview because they do not have capacity in the aqueduct 38 1 December 1, 2021 COM Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview downstream from their delivery locations. Note that City of Lubbock officials have indicated they are not willing to participate. Current contractual amounts, maximum usage from 2016-2020, and potential available supplies are shown in Table 14 for CRMWA member cities potentially able to participate. Note that CRMWA plans annual supplies based on member cities informing CRMWA of their planned usage in the coming year. Therefore, CRMWA does not plan to supply the full contractual amounts of its member cities annually, but appears to have the surface water, groundwater, and transmission capacity to do so if needed. Table 14. Additional supplies potentially available from CRMWA member cities. Levelland 935,000 2,869 1,797 62.6% 1,072 Brownfield 736,000 2,259 1,472 65.2% 787 Lamesa 733,000 2,249 1,333 59.3% 916 Slaton 528,000 1,620 1,040 64.2% 580 Tahoka 154,000 473 323 68.2% 150 O'Donnell 94,000 288 126 43.8% 162 acft/yr = acre-feet per year; gal = gallons Projected annual supply needs in 2070 are 200 acft under the Expected Demands projection and 862 acft under the High Demands projection. Those needs could be met from one or more of the potential member cities identified in Table 14. Under the High Demands projection need, an additional 862 acf/yr of supply would increase the total CRMWA supply available to Plainview to 4,563 acft/yr. This is equivalent to an average daily supply of 4.07 mgd, which is less than the maximum contractual delivery rate from CRMWA of 4.15 mgd and within the capabilities of the CRMWA system to deliver. While obtaining additional CRMWA supplies from other CRMWA member cities would not by itself provide sufficient maximum -day supply capacity to meet the projected maximum -day needs, the additional supply could be received during lower -demand winter months, stored in the terminal storage reservoir discussed in the next section, and then accessed as needed to meet maximum -day demands. 5.3.3 Estimated Cost Costs for obtaining additional CRMWA supplies would be the annual costs charged by CRMWA to its member cities proportioned to the additional supply and aqueduct capacity used by Plainview, plus some potential renumeration to the cooperating member cities for agreeing to allow Plainview to use some of their contractual supplies from CRMWA. 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 39 �M• 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview An additional supply of 862 acft/yr represents 0.837 percent of the total CRMWA contractual obligations, so the City would be expected to increase its payments to CRMWA from its current allocation basis of 3.691 percent to 4.528 percent. Based on the CRMWA fiscal year 2019/20 report, the average cost applied to CRMWA member cities was $1.27 per 1,000 gallons for the total volume supplied to member cities. This cost varied from $0.88 to $1.60 based on how operating and capital costs are assigned to member cities. Based on the maximum unit cost allocated to a member city ($1.60 per thousand gallons for Levelland), the annual cost for an additional supply of 862 acft would be $449,414, or $521 /acft. 5.4 Terminal Storage Reservoir 5.4.1 Strategy Description Construction of a terminal storage reservoir will increase the reliability of water purchased from CRMWA by providing storage should CRMWA experience a temporary disruption of service, such as might occur from a pipeline failure. A reservoir could also be used to potentially increase annual supply if used in conjunction with another source. The terminal storage reservoir would be sited adjacent to the current location where CRMWA supplies are delivered to the City. It was assumed that pressure from the CRMWA Aqueduct would be sufficient to fill the reservoir. Water from the reservoir would be pumped to the City's water treatment plant through a new pump station located adjacent to the reservoir through the existing raw water transmission line. The pump station would be sized to deliver the High Demands projection maximum -day demand of 7.91 mgd. A valve box would be installed on the current transmission line from CRMWA to control flows into the reservoir and allow flows from CRMWA to bypass the reservoir and flow directly to the water treatment plant. A potential configuration of the project is shown in Figure 15. 40 1 December 1, 2021 W Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Figure 15. Site map of terminal storage reservoir. 5.4.2 Project Assumptions and Costs Five alternative reservoir sizes were evaluated with storage volumes ranging from 73 to 752 acre-feet. Each alternative was assumed to be square and store water at a depth of 20 feet. The cost for each alternative was computed using the TWDB Uniform Cost Model using the special off -channel reservoir capability of the tool. Table 15 and Figure 16 show the estimated cost for the 5 options, inclusive of appurtenant facilities. The preferred option is Option 3, which stores 340 acre-feet, equal to two weeks of maximum -day demands under the High Demands projection. This is slightly greater than 31 days of CRMWA average -day supply. Additional operational analyses that account for other financial and risk considerations beyond the scope of this master plan can be completed to optimize the size of the project. The terminal storage reservoir was assumed to be located near the CRMWA Aqueduct on land currently zoned for agricultural use. For the purposes of estimating cost, we assume a small pipeline to the reservoir and a valve box installed on the existing City of Plainview raw water transmission line to control flows into the reservoir. 1 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 41 387 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview The TWDB UCM was used to estimate the project costs. Key assumptions include: 1. Water depth of 20 feet 2. Normal freeboard of 6 feet 3. Slopes 3:1 4. Crest width of 8 feet 5. Surface area variable according to storage capacity Table 15. Terminal storage reservoir options and costs. Option 1: Store 3 days of Maximum -Day Demands Option 2: Store 7 days of Maximum -Day Demands Option 3: Store 14 days of Maximum -Day Demands Option 4: Store 21 days of Maximum -Day Demands Option 5: Store 31 days of Maximum -Day Demands acft = acre-feet $10,000,000 $14,000,000 2 $12,000,000 a� N $10,000,000 O) O $8,000,000 E H $6,000,000 O Cj $4,000,000 $2,000,000 $0 $7,103,000.00 73 4 20 $8,325,000.00 170 8 20 $10,815,000.00 340 17 20 ` MM $11,776,000.00 516 25 20 $13,655,000.00 752 38 20 I I i I I i I i i 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Storage (acft) Figure 16. Cost curve for terminal storage reservoir. A summary of the estimated cost of the terminal storage reservoir and appurtenant facilities are show in Table 16. Overall project cost is estimated at $10,815,000. 42 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Table 16. Cost estimate summary for Option 3 of the Terminal Storage Reservoir with storage for 14 days of maximum -day demands. Off -Channel Storage/Ring Dike (Conservation Pool 340 acft, 17 acres) $5,220,000 Primary Pump Station (7.91 MGD) $2,097,000 Pipeline $151,000 Integration, Relocations, & Other $50,000 TOTAL COST OF FACILITIES $7,518,000 Engineering and Feasibility Studies, Legal Assistance, Financing, Bond $2,946,000 Counsel, and Contingencies (30% for pipes & 35% for all other facilities) Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $30,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (26 acres) $31,000 Interest During Construction (3% for 1 years with a 0.5% ROI) $290,000 TOTAL COST OF PROJECT $10,815,000 ANNUAL COST Debt Service (3.5 percent, 20 years) $249,000 Reservoir Debt Service (3.5 percent, 30 years) $396,000 Operation and Maintenance Intakes, Pipelines and Pump Stations (2.5% of Cost of Facilities) $54,000 Dam and Reservoir (1.5% of Cost of Facilities) $78,000 Pumping Energy Costs (27,720 kW-hr @ 0.08 $/kW-hr) $2,000 TOTAL ANNUAL COST $779,000 Available Project Yield (acft/yr) 340 Annual Cost of Water ($ per acft), based on PF=26.06 $2,291 Annual Cost of Water After Debt Service ($ per acft), based on PF=26.06 $394 Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons), based on PF=26.06 $7.03 Annual Cost of Water After Debt Service ($ per 1,000 gallons), based on $1.21 PF=26.06 Note: One or more cost element has been calculated externally. Available yield of the project assumes one cycle of reservoir storage annually. December 1, 2021 1 43 • 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview 5.5 Aquifer Storage and Recovery 5.5.1 Project Description and Analysis An ASR strategy was considered that would include drilling ASR wells inside the footprint of the City's wellfield, and recharging water to the Ogallala Aquifer during winter months when demands are low. The ASR wells would be dual-purpose wells, i.e. they would provide both recharge and recovery, when needed. Single -purpose wells were considered that would provide recharge only (near existing production wells) but given the need to periodically backflush the wells by setting temporary pumps, the labor resources required make setting permanent pumps the recommended option. Operation of four ASR wells were simulated at locations near existing wells 13, 14, 15, and 22. The wells were assumed to be able to store 1,000-acre feet total during the low -demand months starting in 2030. This would equate to each well recharging at about 300 gpm for 6 months out of the year. The simulations were carried out using an annual stress period, so the actual months and recharge rates were not specified. Figure 17 shows the results of the simulation. The change in saturated thickness for wells 13, 14, 15, and 22 shows a slight increase in 2030 as a result of the recharge. The wellfield can sustain pumping of 1,200 acft/yr until about 2040, which decreases to about 1,000 acft/yr by 2070. A comparison between Figure 17 and Figure 8, indicates that the ASR strategy increases the wellfield's ability to sustain 1,200 acft/yr by about 4 years, but more importantly increases the 2070 productivity by more than 400 acft/yr, providing a long-term sustainable supply of 1,000 acft/yr from the City's wellfield. This would also maintain the wellfield's capability to supply maximum -day demands of at least 3 mgd. 44 1 December 1, 2021 390 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Change in Saturated Thickness at the Wells — 4 120 ___ 7 — - 8 �.� 11 100 �.\ 12 --- 13 14 Y 80 \' 15 16 9 17 7i 60 Z._ — - 18 20 21 q1 d �t V V cc W t7 n E by t-nan a in rump KaEe aL me weu5 too 4 --- 7 ?00 -------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- _ 12 )00 13 — - 14 - 15 300 - 16 _ 17 i00 -- 18 20 — 21 too------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --- 22 --- Total 200 =— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — ------------------ .. ::::::t:::::i:i:ii::::ii:::i:::i:i::i::ii::: i:::l:::i:i iiiiiieii:::::::T ..................................................................... MN.....r'i....::...................................................... 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Figure 17. Simulated saturated thickness and production rates through time for the Plainview wellfield when 1,000 acft/yr of recharge occurs. 5.5.2 Project Assumptions and Estimated Cost The TWDB UCM was used to estimate the cost of the project. Key assumptions: 1. Well capacities of 300 gpm 2. Well depths of 330 feet, based on the range in depths of nearby existing wells 3. Wells located on existing City -owned land 4. System pressures sufficient to force recharge (no lift stations) 5. 500 feet of 8-inch line per well for connecting to the existing distribution system Table 17 shows the estimated cost of the project, which comes to $2,725,000. This cost does not include costs to treat the additional water used for recharge. 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 45 391 LJ 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Table 17. Summary of estimated cost for aquifer storage and recovery. L Wellfields (Wells, Pumps, and Piping) 06. TOTAL COST OF FACILITIES r Engineering and Feasibility Studies, Legal Assistance, Financing, Bond ounsel, and Contingencies (30% for pipes & 35% for all other facilities) Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation Interest During Construction (3% for 1 years with a 0.5% ROI) TOTAL COST OF PROJECT ANNUAL COST Debt Service (3.5 percent, 20 years) h Operation and Maintenance bPipeline, Wells, and Storage Tanks (1% of Cost of Facilities) TOTAL ANNUAL COST 5.6 Reuse of Treated Effluent $1,958,000 $1,958,000 $685,000 $9,000 73 000 $2,725,000 $192,000 $20,000 $212,000 Wastewater reuse uses treated wastewater effluent as a replacement for potable water supply, reducing the overall potable water demand. Wastewater reuse typically involves a capital project connecting the treatment plant discharge facilities to an individual area that has a relatively high, localized use that can be met with non -potable water. Examples most frequently include the irrigation of golf courses and other public lands and specific industries or industrial use areas. Wastewater reuse can be classified into two forms, defined by how the reuse water is handled. • Direct Reuse —Treated wastewater is delivered directly from the wastewater plant to the place of use (also called "flange -to -flange"). • Indirect Reuse —Treated wastewater is discharged to a river, stream, or lake for subsequent diversion downstream (also called "bed and banks"). The City of Plainview currently does not use any wastewater effluent as a reuse water supply; however, the City is evaluating a project to provide a portion of their effluent discharge as a reuse supply to local golf courses and other open areas with a possible second phase to deliver highly -treated effluent back to the water treatment plant. Phase 1 of the project would use up to 50 percent of the average effluent discharged from the wastewater treatment plant (WWTP), or about 0.5 MGD (Figure 18). This reuse would be treated to Type II reuse standards with tertiary treatment and disinfection being added at the WWTP. This treated effluent would then be delivered to a local golf course through a 12-inch diameter pipeline. The pipeline would be sized 46 1 December 1, 2021 392 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview to deliver 2 mgd as a peak use irrigation supply. Other potential areas that could utilize the reuse supply are shown in Figure 18. These would require additional transmission lines to deliver the treated effluent to those locations. Figure 18. City of Plainview Reuse Option, Phase 1. Phase 2 of the project would use up to 100 percent of the average effluent from the WWTP, or about 1.0 mgd (Figure 19). With this phase, the original pipeline would be extended to allow the effluent to be delivered to the City's water treatment plant. In addition, a 1-mgd advanced treatment facility would be added to the existing WWTP. This would provide operational flexibility to take all the reuse water for direct potable use or meet non -potable reuse demand along the pipeline route (golf course, airport, recreation fields, or cemeteries). 1 1 December 1, 2021 1 47 393 1 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Figure 19. City of Plainview Reuse Option, Phase 2. All direct reuse water supply options assume that treated wastewater remains under the control (in pipelines or storage tanks) from the wastewater treatment plant to the point of use. Wastewater reuse quality and system design requirements are regulated by the TCEQ through 30 Texas Administrative Code §210. TCEQ allows two types of reuse as defined by the use of the water and the required water quality: • Type 1 — Public or food crops generally can come in contact with reuse water; and • Type 2 — Public or food crops cannot come in contact with reuse water. Current TCEQ criteria for reuse water are shown in Table 18. Trends across the country indicate that criteria for unrestricted reuse water will likely become more stringent over time. The water quality required for Type 1 reuse water is more stringent with stricter requirements for oxygen demand (BOD5 or CBOD5), turbidity, and fecal coliform levels. 48 1 December 1, 2021 394 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview 5 mg/L 3 NTU 20 CFU / 100 ml' 75 CFU / 100 m12 20 mg/L 15 mg/L 200 CFU / 100 ml;MM Table 18. TCEQ quality standards for reuse water. BOD5 or CBOD5 Turbidity Fecal Coliform Fecal Coliform (not to exceed) BOD5 or CBOD5 Fecal Coliform Fecal Coliform (not to exceed) BOD5 30 mg/L Fecal Coliform 200 CFU / 100 ml' Fecal Coliform (not to exceed) 800 CFU / 100 m12 geometric mean 2 single grab sample mg/L = milligrams per liter; ml = milliliter BOD5 = biochemical oxygen demand, 5-day test CBOD5 = carbonaceous biochemical oxygen demand, 5-day test NTU = nephelometric turbidity units CFU = colony -forming unit 5.6.1 Strategy Costs Costs associate with this strategy are presented in Table 19. Assumptions associated with these costs include the following. • The advanced water treatment plant would be constructed on City -owned land adjacent to the WWTP, • The capacity of the pump station, advanced water treatment plant and transmission pipeline include an estimated 5 percent downtime; and • The project is assumed to have a 2-year construction period. 1 1 C December 1, 2021 1 49 395 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Table 19. City of Plainview reuse costs (September 2018 dollars). Primary Pump Station (2 MGD) Transmission Pipeline (12 in dia., 19897 feet) Transmission Pump Station(s) & Storage Tank(s) Two Water Treatment Plants (2 MGD and 2 MGD) Advanced Water Treatment Facility (1 MGD) TOTAL COST OF FACILITIES Engineering and Feasibility Studies, Legal Assistance, Financing, Bond Counsel, and Contingencies (30% for pipes & 35% for all other facilities) $1,006,000 $1,072,000 $3,328,000 $5,148,000 $1,297,000 $1,297,000 $1,707,000 $1,707,000� -- $9,445,000 $7,338,000 $18,669,004 $2,402000 $6,277,000 Environmental & Archaeology Studies and Mitigation $108,000 $160,000 Land Acquisition and Surveying (30 acres) $224,000 $361,000 Interest During Construction (3% for 1 years with a 0.5% ROI) $277,000 $701,000 TOTAL COST OF PROJECT $10,349,000 $26,168,000 ANNUAL COST Debt Service (3.5 percent, 20 years) Operation and Maintenance Pipeline, Wells, and Storage Tanks (1% of Cost of Facilities) Intakes and Pump Stations (2.5% of Cost of Facilities) Water Treatment Plant Advanced Water Treatment Facility Pumping Energy Costs (57226 kW-hr @ 0.08 $/kW-hr) TOTAL ANNUAL COST Available Project Yield (acft/yr) Annual Cost of Water ($ per acft) Annual Cost of Water After Debt Service ($ per acft) Annual Cost of Water ($ per 1,000 gallons) Annual Cost of Water After Debt Service ($ per 1,000 gallons) $728,000 $1,841,000 $46,000 $64,000 $25,000 $27,000 $602,000 $602,000 $0 $642,000 $5,000 $17,000 $1,406,000 $3,193,000A 560 1,120 11114 $2,511 $2,851 $1,211 $1,207-1 $7.70 0§ $8.7a $3.71 111 $3.70 4 5.6.2 Summary The advanced treatment facilities would be constructed on City -owned property, which is currently being used for similar purposes and environmental issues should be minimal. The transmission line corridor that would convey the reclaimed should be selected to avoid potentially sensitive areas. 50 1 December 1, 2021 396 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview Due to the nature of the project, it is assumed that a public outreach plan is needed for the proposed reuse project. Advanced treatment design considerations should include real-time monitoring and regular sampling to ensure process performance and avoid any acute episode of pathogens in the reclaimed water. 5.6.3 Permitting Issues The drinking water produced for the potable reuse project would meet or exceed all state and federal drinking water standards. TCEQ is currently developing potable reuse guidance requirements to be applied to proposed projects and to be used as the basis for reviewing permit applications. TCEQ will require a pilot study prior to regulatory approval and for determining design values for the treatment technologies. Treatment requirements for any reclaimed water as a drinking water source may consider the pretreatment program, influent wastewater quality, vulnerability assessment of the collection system, results of effluent quality sampling/monitoring data, and wastewater treatment process. Stream crossings would be subject to Section 404 of the Clean Water Act. Due to the minimal and temporary impacts associated with the pipeline installation, it is likely that most of the proposed project would be authorized by Nationwide Permit 12. 6 Long -Range Water Supply Plan 6.1 Objectives and Issues This LRWSP is developed to meet three primary objectives: • Provide sufficient annual supply volume to meet the projected future annual demands. • Provide sufficient supply capacity to deliver maximum -day demands. • Promote efficient use of water through conservation and education. Through this planning process, the following tasks were completed: • Annual water demands were projected for three alternative future projections. • Maximum -day water demands were projected for the three same scenarios. • The current and future annual and maximum -day supply capacities of the City's two current water supplies were established. • The reliability of the City's existing supplies was evaluated. • The City's Water Conservation Plan was updated to include new, more aggressive Best Management Practices. • Strategies were identified and evaluated to meet the three objectives — annual supply, maximum -day supply, and efficient use of water. 1 December 1, 2021 1 51 397 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Three primary issues were identified that the LRWSP needs to address. Diminishing Local Groundwater Supplies — The City's low-cost, seemingly reliable groundwater supply is declining due to regional groundwater pumping for irrigation. In the future, declining regional groundwater levels will reduce the capacities of the City's wells and the ability of the wells to provide a reliable annual supply. More importantly, however, the City will not be able to rely on the wells to meet maximum -day demands as regional groundwater levels continue to decline and well capacities diminish. Potential Interruption of CRMA Supplies — CRMWA has developed a long-term (greater than 100-years) supply of water from wellfields in Roberts County and the surrounding area, which is supplemented with surface water from Lake Meredith when supplies are available from the reservoir. Unfortunately, the supply from CRMWA is transmitted to the CRMWA member cities through an aging aqueduct and supplies can be interrupted with a pipeline failure or other disruption of the CRMWA facilities. The City has relied on its own wellfield to supplement CRMWA supplies but diminishing regional groundwater will eventually eliminate or limit the viability of this resource. The City will no longer be able to provide short-term replacement of CRMWA supplies or supplement CRMWA supplies to meet maximum -day demands at the required pumping rates. Limited Supply Options — Located in the High Plains Region of Texas, limited options are available for new supplies of water. Combined, the contracted supply from CRMWA and the supply from the City -owned wellfield appear sufficient to meet the City's annual water supply requirements through 2044 under the High Demands projection and through 2054 under the Expected Demands projection. The CRMWA supply is insufficient by itself to meet current maximum -day demands and is supplemented during high demand conditions by the City's wellfield. As the capacity of the City's wells decreases, the City will lose the capability to supplement CRMWA supplies. The combined CRMWA and City -owned wellfield are projected to not meet maximum -day demands by 2042 under the High Demands projection and 2046 under the Expected Demands projection. Under the Low Demands projection, the CRMWA supplies are sufficient to meet annual water demands through 2070, but by 2046 declining regional groundwater levels will cause the City's wellfield capacity to be insufficient to supplement CRMWA supplies to meet maximum -day demands. 6.2 Solutions Multiple solutions were identified and evaluated to mitigate the issues identified above. A brief discussion of each is provided below, followed by a preferred Long -Range Water Supply Plan. Note that no single strategy that has been evaluated in this study will be sufficient to meet both the annual and maximum -day demands projected under the three alternative scenarios. Increase water use efficiency and reduce maximum -day demands. — The City's updated Water Conservation Plan is more proactive than previous plans and is intended to facilitate more efficient water use by its citizens and customers. However, as shown in Table 3, the demand projections already incorporate a level of savings in per -connection use and the City's 52 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview maximum -day to average -day demand factor. Those reductions are consistent with the expected results of the City's recently adopted Water Conservation Plan. Solutions provided in this plan are necessary over and above the City's planned water conservation efforts. Water savings due to proactive conservation measures are important but are insufficient by themselves to meet the City's water supply needs. Provide an alternative supply to replace the City's diminishing groundwater. — This plan identifies and evaluates three alternatives to replace the groundwater supply that is gradually being lost due to regional declines in groundwater levels. • Obtain additional CRMWA supply Additional CRMWA supply could be obtained from other CRMWA member cities. A relatively modest annual amount of 788 acft would provide sufficient annual supply. However, the CRMWA system appears configured to provide primarily average -day demands and the additional CRMWA supplies would be insufficient to help the City meet future maximum -day demands. • Develop additional City -owned groundwater Additional wells developed in the Ogallala Aquifer could be added to supplement the City's existing wellfield, but they would be subject to the same regional groundwater declines and would provide only a temporary solution. The City could develop a supply from the deeper, brackish/saline Dockum Aquifer. Information regarding the Dockum is limited, and an extensive groundwater investigation would be needed to identify feasible locations for wells. This solution would also require an expensive desalination system to treat the water to potable quality. Reuse water from the City's Water Reclamation Plant This strategy is recommended for the City in the 2021 Llano -Estacado Regional Water Plan. This would provide a reliable, sustainable supply of water entirely owned and controlled by the City that would not be subject to climatic conditions. Implementation of a reuse water supply could be phased, such that non -potable water is used initially (for irrigation) followed by additional water treated to potable water quality as demands increase. Supplies from a reuse system would provide limited maximum -day supply capacity, essentially equivalent to the average -day supply provided by the reuse system. Supplement the City's groundwater to extend the supply. — Groundwater model simulations indicate the City's wellfield capacity will decrease rapidly under current production volumes. Groundwater supplies can be extended past 2040 if annual pumping from the City's wellfield is limited to 1,200 acre-feet. Two alternatives were identified and evaluated to supplement the City's groundwater and extend its supply. l December 1, 2021 1 53 399 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview • Actively manage the current wellfield Groundwater production data provided by the City indicate that the City relies on some wells more heavily than others, recognizing that some wells are more reliable and provide greater capacity. It appears that the manner in which the City currently divides production between its wells optimizes the long-term supply. HDR recommends that the City continue to obtain supplies from its wellfield similar to its recent distribution but reduce the annual amount pumped to about 1,200 acft. This supply volume should be pumped primarily during summer months to supplement CRMWA supplies to meet higher summer demands. • Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) CRMWA Supply. The City currently has an excess of annual supply available from CRMWA per its total contracted quantity. The City could request CRMWA to increase its annual allocation to Plainview and use the extra supply to provide water to an ASR system using potable water provided by the City's water distribution system. Reuse Supply. As the City water demands begin to more fully use the supply from CRMWA, the City could transition over time to use reuse supply as the source of water for the ASR system. This might come from the Direct Potable Reuse identified as Phase II in the evaluation presented previously or the City could construct a dedicated transmission system to deliver water to the ASR wells. Reuse Supply through the Terminal Storage Reservoir. If the City elects to construct the terminal storage reservoir to improve the reliability of the CRMWA supplies and provide a source to meet maximum -day demands, reclaimed water could also be stored in the reservoir before being treated by the City's water treatment plant and used to provide water for ASR through the City's water distribution system. This would likely require a level of treatment similar to Phase 11 of the reuse strategy. Improve the reliability and maximum-dav capacity of the CRMWA suDDly. — The CRMWA supply is subject to being interrupted by pipeline failures and does not provide sufficient capacity to meet maximum -day demands. This will become particularly important as the City's groundwater supply capacity diminishes over time and its ability to provide peaking supply decreases. Terminal Storage Reservoir Construction of a terminal storage reservoir would provide two distinct benefits to Plainview: 1. Improve the reliability of the CRMWA supplies. Following a series of recent pipeline failures, CRMWA completed a condition assessment that identified locations specifically vulnerable to failure and CRMWA has constructed bypasses around those pipeline sections. However, the entire CRMWA system is aging and long pipelines like the CRMWA Aqueduct are vulnerable lifelines. Providing a multi -day 64 1 December 1, 2021 M Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview volume of storage local to Plainview would greatly improve the reliability of the City's supply, particularly as groundwater capacity declines in the future. 2. Provide a source to meet maximum -day demands. The City's water treatment plant has the capacity to meet current maximum -day demands but the maximum delivery rate from CRMWA will not allow the plant to fully use this capacity when needed. As the City's groundwater capacity continues to decline it will become increasingly important to maximize the ability to provide water from CRMWA. • Option: Increase capacity of the City's water treatment plant. If groundwater levels decline and the wellfield capacity is not maintained as envisioned, it may be necessary to increase the capacity of the water treatment plant to 8 mgd to provide the capacity to supply maximum -day demands in the absence of supplemental groundwater supplies. Based upon the forgoing discussion, the following outlines a preferred plan for the City to implement to provide sufficient annual supply and the capacity to meet projected maximum -day demands. The focus of the plan is meeting the more aggressive High Demands projection. Should future demands follow the Expected Demands projection the plan would be similar, but the reuse supply projects would be unnecessary. A plan for meeting the Low Demands projection would focus primarily on providing sufficient capacity to meet maximum -day demands if the City's wellfield capacity decreases as expected. 6.3 Preferred Long -Range Water Supply Plan An overall plan is presented in Table 20 with the recommended strategies in the order recommended for implementation. The City has sufficient annual supplies and production capacity to meet projected demands through at least 2040 if demands grow as projected and the City's groundwater wellfield is able to sustain current well capacities. In lieu of establishing "need by" dates, the plan identifies conditions that the City should monitor that should "trigger" implementation of specific strategies. The expected year for the trigger to occur is shown, but only to provide an estimated timeframe. Triggers are identified such that the City is expected to have sufficient time to implement the strategy before needing the resource. 1 December 1, 2021 1 55 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview Table 20. Preferred Long -Range Water Supply Plan and triggers to implement specific strategies. Water Conservation None 2021 44M Actively Manage Wellfield The City should adopt its updated water conservation plan and proactively begin implementing the BMPs identified in the plan. The City should continue to manage this resources and attempt to limit annual pumping to 1,200 acft/yr, relying on the groundwater supply to supplement CRMWA supplies during high demand periods. The reservoir will not increase annual supply from CRMWA Terminal Storage Reservoir None 2026 but will alleviate some dependence on groundwater and immediately improve the reliability of the City's water supply. Static water levels This will occur in advance of substantial reductions in well decline 10 feet capacities. The intent is to begin supplementing and Aquifer Storage and Recovery from current 2027 maintaining well capacities prior to noticeable declines in levels production capacity. Annual demands A demand of 4,000 acft/yr is 80% of the combined CRMWA Develop Phase I Non -Potable Reuse exceed 4,000 2031 and City annual supplies. Note that 4,000 acft/yr exceeds acft/yr the 2070 Expected Demands projection and this project would only be needed under the High Demands projection. Implement when demands exceed 80% of available annual Annual demand i supply. Could be implemented with discharge into the Develop Phase 11 Potable Reuse exceed 4,400 0 ; terminal storage reservoir. Note that 4,400 acft/yr exceeds acft/yr the 2070 Expected Demands protection and this project would only be needed under the High Demands projection. BMP = best management practice-, acft/yr = acre-feet per year, CRMWA = Canadian River Municipal Water Authority 56 1 December 1, 2021 402 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview 6.4 Implementation of the Long -Range Water Supply Plan 6.4.1 Impacts of the Plan on Utility Finances The strategies recommended in the LRWSP represent a substantial cost to be borne by the City's water customers. One method for determining the impact of the plan on customer costs is to divide the annual costs of the strategies by the projected annual water demands and determine the annual costs of the strategies per 1,000 gallons of future demand. As costs increase as strategies are implemented, unit costs are somewhat mitigated as demands also increase. The cost per 1,000 gallons to implement the plan are shown in Figure 20 under the High Demands projection. Implementing the strategies recommended in the LRWSP will contribute a maximum of $4.05 per 1,000 gallons to the average cost of water. $4 50 0 $3 00 0 m o $2 50 0 0 a: $2 00 a m $150 m �2 $100 0 U $0 50 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 Year Figure 20. Cost to implement the Long -Range Water Supply Plan per 1,000 gallons of future demands (High Demands projection. Figure 21 shows the contribution of each strategy to the cost per 1,000 gallons under the High Demands projection. 1 December 1, 2021 1 57 403 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview $4 50 $4 00 c Q $3.50 0 c $3 00 0 m rn o $2 50 0 n $2 00 ai $150 m rn o $1.00 W 0 U $0.50 •Cons at,.r •Ten^. ai Storage Rese—I •AquAer Storage and Recovery ■Phase i No, -Potable Reuse •Phase 1! Potable Reuse III I 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 Year Figure 21. Contribution of individual strategies to cost to implement the Long -Range Water Supply Plan. 6.4.2 Recommended Future Actions 6.4.2.1 COORDINATION WITH TWDB FOR FUNDING The projects in this LRWSP represent a considerable investment by the City of Plainview. The TWDB has a number of funding programs available that include low -interest loans, grants, and loans with some principal forgiveness. Coordination with the TWDB should be started well in advance of needing the funds because some of the programs can take over a year to secure funding. 6.4.2.2 COORDINATION WITH THE LLANO-ESTACADO REGIONAL WATER PLANNING GROUP To be eligible for certain types of low-cost funding from the TWDB, a project must be identified as a recommended water management strategy in the applicable regional and state water plans. The City should coordinate with the Llano -Estacado Regional Water Planning Group so that each of the projects identified in the LRWSP is included in the regional water plan. 6.4.2.3 WATER CONSERVATION The City Council should adopt the updated Water Conservation and Drought Contingency Plan as an ordinance in 2021/2022. Plans for implementing the rebate programs should be finalized and the programs kicked off in early 2022. The outside watering restrictions should be well - publicized on the City's website and in appropriate media outlets and on social media prior to March 2022. 6.4.2.4 ACTIVELY MANAGE WELLFIELD City staff should prioritize reducing dependance on the City's wellfield as a routine supply and plan to use the wellfield during high demand conditions only (May through September). CRMWA should be notified of the City's anticipated water needs for 2022 so that CRMWA can make the necessary arrangements to allocate the appropriate annual supply to Plainview. City staff 58 1 December 1, 2021 Long -Range Water Supply Plan ��� City of Plainview should develop a plan for monitoring long-term static water levels in all City -owned wells, and annually review those water level changes to quantify long-term declines. 6.4.2.5 TERMINAL STORAGE RESERVOIR A preliminary engineering study should be conducted which should include a siting study and confirmation of the design parameters for the reservoir, including the size most advantageous to the City's goals. Land should then be acquired for the project. The reservoir embankment design should be optimized to minimize earthwork costs while maintaining the target storage. Following preliminary design, final design, permitting, and construction should be completed. 6.4.2.6 AQUIFER STORAGE AND RECOVERY Development of the ASR system can be accomplished in a phased manner with development of a single ASR well at a time. The City's first step in this process should be to complete a more detailed hydrogeology study to identify those areas within the City's existing wellfield best suited for operation of an ASR well and confirm the compatibility of the City's existing potable water with the aquifer medium in which the water will be stored. The City should then conduct a pilot study with a smaller pilot well to confirm the suitability of the concept. 6.4.2.7 PHASE 1 NON -POTABLE REUSE Specific customers for the non -potable reuse supply should be identified and their required water demands confirmed. Commitments to purchase the supply should be obtained and the preliminary engineering design completed to develop an operational plan for the reuse system and size the system's components. A "210" reuse authorization will need to be obtained from the TCEQ. This will require that the City be able to provide appropriate quality effluent from the City's Water Reclamation Plant and any treatment improvements implemented prior to delivery of the supply to the end user. Final engineering design, permitting, and construction of the reuse system should then be completed. 6.4.2.8 PHASE II POTABLE REUSE TCEQ will require a pilot study prior to regulatory approval and for determining design values for the treatment technologies. Treatment requirements for any reclaimed water as a drinking water source may consider the pretreatment program, influent wastewater quality, vulnerability assessment of the collection system, results of effluent quality sampling/monitoring data, and wastewater treatment process. 1 December 1, 2021 1 59 "I 1 Long -Range Water Supply Plan City of Plainview This page is left blank intentionally. 60 1 December 1, 2021